Nancy 2-2 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Aug 2025

Nancy
2-2 HT 2-1
Pau
📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
11%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.43
X/2
12%
7.16
X/X
15%
4.26
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
9%
5.76
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.40
-11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.7 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Pau
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2022 Nancy Nancy 2-3 HT 2-3 Pau Pau FR2
24.07.2021 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
05.02.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
03.10.2020 Pau Pau 1-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
2-2
AWAY Pau
1.81 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
260 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy and Pau shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nancy at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nancy had 45% of the ball to Pau's 55%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.81 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nancy and 1.50 for Pau.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Pau?

Nancy 2-2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nancy 43%, draw 28%, Pau 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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