Dunkerque 2-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.55
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
4%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.36
X/2
14%
5.81
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
20%
4.03
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.14
-1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.5 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Troyes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
04.10.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-1 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.02.2024 Troyes Troyes 1-2 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
05.08.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-2 HT 1-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
08.05.2021 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
08.01.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
2-0
AWAY Troyes
0.72 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
379 Passes 418
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque got the better of Troyes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dunkerque had 47% of the ball to Troyes's 53%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.72 to 1.26 — on chances, Troyes could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunkerque and 1.17 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Troyes?

Dunkerque 2-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 34%, draw 26%, Troyes 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Troyes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Troyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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