Troyes 1-0 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.92
1/2
10%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.59
X/2
8%
5.72
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
14%
4.07
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.37/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.37
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.7 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.83 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-1 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.02.2024 Troyes Troyes 1-2 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
05.08.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-2 HT 1-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
08.05.2021 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
08.01.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
1-0
AWAY Dunkerque
1.03 xG 1.16
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
237 Passes 526
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes squeezed past Dunkerque 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Troyes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Troyes had 34% of the ball to Dunkerque's 66%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.03 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dunkerque led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Troyes and 1.20 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Dunkerque?

Troyes 1-0 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Troyes 40%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
25 Apr 2025
21:00 Guingamp vs Martigues Analysis →
21:00 Red Star FC 93 vs Clermont Analysis →
21:00 Bastia vs Grenoble Analysis →
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Amiens SC Analysis →
21:00 Annecy vs Ajaccio Analysis →