Guingamp 2-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.72
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
13%
3.98
X/2
10%
14.3
X/X
6%
6.78
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
8%
11.8
2/X
6%
20.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +50%
2.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.65
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.5 Crosses 14.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Martigues
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.98 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
467 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-1
AWAY Martigues
2.05 xG 1.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
364 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp nicked a narrow win over Martigues 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 52% of the ball to Martigues's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.05 to 1.89.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Martigues?

Guingamp 2-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 59%, draw 20%, Martigues 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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