Stade Lavallois 1-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.08
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
16%
4.02
X/2
9%
10.75
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
8%
9.2
2/X
7%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.41
-56% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.5 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
296 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-3 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
02.03.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
28.10.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
02.06.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
30.12.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
12.05.2017 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-0
AWAY Amiens SC
1.44 xG 0.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
453 Passes 219
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois edged past Amiens SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stade Lavallois as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 65% of the ball to Amiens SC's 35%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.50 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Amiens SC?

Stade Lavallois 1-0 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 52%, draw 26%, Amiens SC 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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