Dunkerque vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dunkerque v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Dunkerque vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Dunkerque
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
Dunkerque 2-1 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Troyes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunkerque as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Dunkerque had 62% of the ball to Troyes's 38%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.03 to 1.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Troyes.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunkerque and 1.25 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Troyes?
Dunkerque 2-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 43%, draw 26%, Troyes 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.