Rodez 2-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.35
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.15
X/2
9%
5.94
X/X
8%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
27.0
2/2
19%
4.09
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.24
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.3 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Grenoble
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Rodez Rodez 3-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
25.11.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
19.05.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
05.11.2022 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
12.03.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
24.09.2021 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez squeezed past Grenoble 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rodez and 1.00 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Grenoble?

Rodez 2-1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rodez 41%, draw 25%, Grenoble 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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