Rodez 3-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Mar 2024

Rodez
3-1 HT 1-1
Grenoble
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Rodez vs Grenoble Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.9
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
10%
6.97
X/X
14%
4.38
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
9%
5.17
2/X
10%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Grenoble — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.39/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.27
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
26.3 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rodez vs Grenoble Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Grenoble
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.18
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
19.05.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
05.11.2022 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
12.03.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
24.09.2021 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
15.05.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez beat Grenoble 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rodez and 1.00 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Grenoble?

Rodez 3-1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rodez 42%, draw 32%, Grenoble 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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