Stade Lavallois 1-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.6
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
11%
4.02
X/2
12%
7.72
X/X
17%
3.33
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
7.07
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.44
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.6 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.53 xG 1.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
303 Passes 426
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-2 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
04.10.2019 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-2 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque squeezed past Stade Lavallois 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.50 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque?

Stade Lavallois 1-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 39%, draw 33%, Dunkerque 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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