Auxerre vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auxerre v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Auxerre
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Auxerre
FR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Caen
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Caen
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Caen
FR2
Auxerre 2-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre nicked a narrow win over Caen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Auxerre had 65% of the ball to Caen's 35%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auxerre and 1.00 for Caen.
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Caen?
Auxerre 2-1 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 49%, draw 25%, Caen 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.