Quevilly 1-1 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.21
X/2
10%
7.23
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
9%
6.01
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.17/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.61
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.9 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Troyes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 486
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Troyes Troyes 2-2 HT 0-2 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
14.08.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 1-2 HT 1-2 Troyes Troyes FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-1
AWAY Troyes
1.02 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
349 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly and Troyes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Quevilly had 52% of the ball to Troyes's 48%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.02 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Quevilly and 2.00 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Troyes?

Quevilly 1-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 47%, draw 27%, Troyes 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Quevilly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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