Paris FC 2-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
16%
7.67
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.2
X/1
6%
4.12
X/2
11%
6.84
X/X
16%
3.14
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
6.37
2/X
5%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.07
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
18.0 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
327 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
29.07.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio HAZ
07.02.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
14.09.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
08.05.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
08.01.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-0
AWAY Ajaccio
1.18 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
412 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC saw off Ajaccio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Paris FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Paris FC had 56% of the ball to Ajaccio's 44%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.18 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paris FC and 1.17 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Ajaccio?

Paris FC 2-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 38%, draw 32%, Ajaccio 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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