Guingamp 3-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 16 Mar 2024

Guingamp
3-0 HT 2-0
Valenciennes
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Guingamp vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.1
X/1
17%
3.3
X/2
6%
13.35
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
9%
12.9
2/X
6%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.97/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.39
+5% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.1 Crosses 12.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Guingamp vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
11.02.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
15.10.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.01.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
31.07.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
17.04.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2

Guingamp 3-0 Valenciennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
3-0
AWAY Valenciennes
1.34 xG 0.32
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
254 Passes 500
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp ran out comfortable winners over Valenciennes 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Guingamp had 37% of the ball to Valenciennes's 63%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.34 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guingamp and 0.67 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Valenciennes?

Guingamp 3-0 Valenciennes in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 52%, draw 26%, Valenciennes 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
16 Mar 2024
17:00 Auxerre vs Caen Analysis →
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Dunkerque Analysis →
21:00 Paris FC vs Ajaccio Analysis →
21:00 Quevilly vs Troyes Analysis →
21:00 Pau vs Concarneau Analysis →
21:00 Rodez vs Grenoble Analysis →