Paris FC 1-0 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
17%
3.83
X/2
9%
9.39
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
8%
7.68
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.71/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.4 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
476 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
26.09.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.03.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
22.10.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
13.05.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-1 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
31.07.2015 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
1-0
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.27 xG 0.25
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
598 Passes 194
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Stade Lavallois 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Paris FC had 71% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 29%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.27 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paris FC and 1.17 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Stade Lavallois?

Paris FC 1-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 55%, draw 23%, Stade Lavallois 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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