Montpellier 1-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Aug 2025

Montpellier
1-1 HT 0-1
Amiens SC
📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Montpellier vs Amiens SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.09
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.85
X/1
13%
3.85
X/2
9%
9.93
X/X
15%
4.85
2/1
10%
24.95
2/2
7%
8.69
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Amiens SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.28/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.43
-36% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
9.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Montpellier vs Amiens SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Amiens SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
338 Passes 346
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FRK
11.01.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
30.11.2019 Montpellier Montpellier 4-2 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
05.05.2019 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
18.08.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
17.01.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1

Montpellier 1-1 Amiens SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
1-1
AWAY Amiens SC
2.16 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
442 Passes 253
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier and Amiens SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Montpellier had 61% of the ball to Amiens SC's 39%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.16 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montpellier and 1.17 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Amiens SC?

Montpellier 1-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 52%, draw 28%, Amiens SC 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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