Amiens SC 1-2 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

Amiens SC
1-2 HT 0-1
Montpellier
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Amiens SC vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.19
1/2
7%
23.45
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
9%
7.26
X/2
13%
4.48
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.64
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amiens SC v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 51%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -63% / -63%
0.99/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.98
-28% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -47%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
– Crosses 40.0
– Yellow Cards –

Amiens SC vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Montpellier
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.74 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
361 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
30.11.2019 Montpellier Montpellier 4-2 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
05.05.2019 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
18.08.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
17.01.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
04.11.2017 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1

Amiens SC 1-2 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-2
AWAY Montpellier
1.73 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
295 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier squeezed past Amiens SC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Amiens SC had 43% of the ball to Montpellier's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.73 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amiens SC and 1.83 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Montpellier?

Amiens SC 1-2 Montpellier in the France - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 32%, draw 22%, Montpellier 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
6 Jan 2024
15:00 Fabregues vs Trelissac Analysis →
17:30 Romorantin vs Moulien Analysis →
17:30 Brest vs Angers Analysis →
17:30 Lyon-Duchere vs Le Puy Analysis →
17:30 Lille vs Golden Lion Analysis →
17:30 Ales vs Paris FC Analysis →