Katowice 3-2 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.08
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
18%
5.17
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
12%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.1
2/2
12%
4.34
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.1 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -12%
1.62/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
25.4 Crosses 17.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 5
06.12.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL
20.07.2024 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
3-2
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.32 xG 0.43
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
196 Passes 225
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice squeezed past Radomiak Radom 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Katowice had 47% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 53%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.32 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Katowice's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katowice and 1.50 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?

Katowice 3-2 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Katowice 44%, draw 28%, Radomiak Radom 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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