Arka Gdynia 1-0 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.96
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.5
X/2
14%
5.38
X/X
16%
4.1
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.83
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
0.62/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.29
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
20.0 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 312
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
02.11.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
21.04.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
07.10.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.06.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
07.03.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-0
AWAY Wisla Plock
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia squeezed past Wisla Plock 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Arka Gdynia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 54% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 46%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arka Gdynia and 0.50 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock?

Arka Gdynia 1-0 Wisla Plock in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 33%, draw 30%, Wisla Plock 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wisla Plock), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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