Aluminij 1-0 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.76/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.12
-29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Koper
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
16.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.10.2023 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 3-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
05.04.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
20.03.2022 Koper Koper 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-0
AWAY Koper
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij squeezed past Koper 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Koper at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 33% of the ball to Koper's 67%, shots finished 7-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aluminij and 2.00 for Koper.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Koper?

Aluminij 1-0 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 28%, draw 25%, Koper 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✗ BTTS Yes
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