Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
7%
+10.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-16.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.48/3.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.14/0.64
-100% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -56%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 609 · 88%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 63.2
5.0 Crosses 33.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.65 xG 3.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 11
268 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 50
10 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
0-1
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.43 xG 1.44
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
269 Passes 562
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) squeezed past Leicester City WFC (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 35% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 65%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.43 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 18%, draw 20%, Arsenal (K) 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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