Manchester United 0-3 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.04
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.68
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
14%
7.4
X/X
12%
5.99
2/1
6%
21.1
2/2
15%
4.36
2/X
5%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.7pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.13/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.72
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
16.1 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tottenham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
386 Passes 448
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 2-2 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
19.08.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
27.04.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-2 HT 0-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
19.10.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
12.03.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 3-2 HT 2-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
30.10.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 0-3 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-3
AWAY Tottenham
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 3
312 Passes 562
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham cruised past Manchester United 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tottenham found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester United had 39% of the ball to Tottenham's 61%, shots finished 11-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester United and 1.33 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Tottenham?

Manchester United 0-3 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 39%, draw 23%, Tottenham 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
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