Badalona 2-0 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.6
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
0.88/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.05
-37% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Badalona Badalona 2-1 HT 2-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
01.10.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-3 HT 0-2 Badalona Badalona İS4
02.04.2023 Badalona Badalona 3-1 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
20.11.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 5-0 HT 3-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
27.02.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 3-0 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
10.10.2021 Badalona Badalona 0-1 HT 0-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona
2-0
AWAY Pena Deportiva
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Badalona vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona saw off Pena Deportiva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Badalona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Badalona had 48% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Badalona and 2.00 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Badalona vs Pena Deportiva?

Badalona 2-0 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Badalona 43%, draw 27%, Pena Deportiva 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Badalona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Badalona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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