Badalona vs Pena Deportiva Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Badalona v Pena Deportiva — Team-Based Signals
Badalona vs Pena Deportiva Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Badalona
İS4
3-1
HT 1-0
Pena Deportiva
İS4
5-0
HT 3-0
Badalona
İS4
3-0
HT 0-0
Badalona
İS4
0-1
HT 0-1
Pena Deportiva
İS4
Badalona 2-1 Pena Deportiva — Actual Match Statistics
Badalona edged past Pena Deportiva 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Badalona as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Badalona had 37% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 63%, shots finished 9-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Badalona and 2.20 for Pena Deportiva.
What was the final score of Badalona vs Pena Deportiva?
Badalona 2-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Badalona vs Pena Deportiva?
Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Badalona 58%, draw 23%, Pena Deportiva 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Badalona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.