Izarra 0-1 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.52
Over
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.69/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.54
-30% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
181 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
0W-1D-2L
AWAY UD Logrones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Izarra Izarra 0-2 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
17.09.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 4-1 HT 2-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
06.12.2019 Izarra Izarra 2-2 HT 0-2 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
0-1
AWAY UD Logrones
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Izarra vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones edged past Izarra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; UD Logrones found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Izarra had 40% of the ball to UD Logrones's 60%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Izarra and 2.67 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Izarra vs UD Logrones?

Izarra 0-1 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Izarra 29%, draw 31%, UD Logrones 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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