Marino De Luanco 0-2 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.44
Over
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.88/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.38
-27% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Compostela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Compostela Compostela 0-2 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
03.09.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
15.01.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
06.03.2022 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
17.10.2021 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
02.05.2021 Compostela Compostela 0-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
0-2
AWAY Compostela
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela beat Marino De Luanco 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marino De Luanco at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 61% of the ball to Compostela's 39%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marino De Luanco had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 0.33 for Compostela.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Compostela?

Marino De Luanco 0-2 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 42%, draw 31%, Compostela 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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