Valencia II 2-1 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.54
Over
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.33/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.55
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Europa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.03.2024 Europa Europa 3-3 HT 2-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
14.10.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 0-0 HT 0-0 Europa Europa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
2-1
AWAY Europa
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II nicked a narrow win over Europa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valencia II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia II had 59% of the ball to Europa's 41%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valencia II and 1.50 for Europa.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Europa?

Valencia II 2-1 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 41%, draw 26%, Europa 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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