Real Sociedad (K) 2-1 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
49%
-15.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.66/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.74
+21% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.0 Crosses 14.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Badalona (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
402 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
20.01.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
2-1
AWAY Badalona (K)
1.47 xG 1.08
69% Ball Possession 31%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
449 Passes 156
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad (K) nicked a narrow win over Badalona (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Sociedad (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad (K) had 69% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 31%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.47 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Sociedad (K) and 1.00 for Badalona (K).

What was the final score of Real Sociedad (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Real Sociedad (K) 2-1 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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29 Sep 2024
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