Valencia (K) 1-3 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.49
+143% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.3 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.55 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) 3-1 HT 3-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
1-3
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.64 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
364 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) saw off Valencia (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sevilla (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 58% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 42%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.64 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valencia (K).

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Valencia (K) 1-3 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
29 Sep 2024
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