Tenerife (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
7.18
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
11%
+22.5pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.5pp
33%
Away Win
70%
-37.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +130%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
Crosses 19.6
Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
206 Passes 321
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.02.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
1-4
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.76 xG 2.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
323 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) ran out comfortable winners over Tenerife (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 46% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 54%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.76 to 2.58.

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Tenerife (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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