Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.18
Over
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.24
2-3
41%
1.87
4-5
23%
3.0
6+
12%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.24 — our 24% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.5
X/1
18%
3.67
X/2
7%
12.2
X/X
8%
6.46
2/1
10%
21.1
2/2
8%
9.3
2/X
6%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dynamo Dresden win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.26
+9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
7 Corners 5
30.03.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
16.10.2011 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
17.03.2006 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
17.10.2005 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-3 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
04.03.2005 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 2-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
04.10.2004 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 5-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0-0
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden and Alemannia Aachen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dynamo Dresden at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 64% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 36%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.83 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Alemannia Aachen?

Dynamo Dresden 0-0 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 57%, draw 22%, Alemannia Aachen 20%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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