Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 70%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.41/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.74
+66% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
08.10.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
20.05.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 5-0 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
11.09.2017 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
08.11.2015 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-3 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
06.07.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk and Torpedo Zhodino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Torpedo Zhodino carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 40% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 60%, shots finished 12-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 2.33 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 20%, draw 22%, Torpedo Zhodino 58%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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