FC Minsk 2-2 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.59/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
30.10.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
04.07.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-4 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
04.05.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
2-2
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk and Dnepr Mogilev couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Minsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Minsk had 50% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 50%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Minsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for FC Minsk and 1.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

FC Minsk 2-2 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 41%, draw 31%, Dnepr Mogilev 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Minsk)
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