Neman Grodno 1-0 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.46/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.84
-22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-1 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
05.11.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
01.11.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLRK
10.06.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
09.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
22.05.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
1-0
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno squeezed past Slavia Mozyr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 49% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 51%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neman Grodno and 0.17 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Slavia Mozyr?

Neman Grodno 1-0 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 53%, draw 26%, Slavia Mozyr 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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