CRB 2-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.51
Over
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.23
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
15%
5.54
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.26/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.4 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
0W-1D-5L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
27.12.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
29.09.2020 CRB CRB 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
04.10.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
09.06.2019 CRB CRB 1-3 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
25.11.2017 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
2-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.55 xG 0.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
329 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CRB vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB squeezed past America Mineiro 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day CRB made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 52% of the ball to America Mineiro's 48%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CRB and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of CRB vs America Mineiro?

CRB 2-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CRB 37%, draw 30%, America Mineiro 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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