Nantes 2-2 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 29 Sep 2024

Nantes
2-2 HT 1-0
Saint-Etienne
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nantes vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.29
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
21%
3.89
X/2
7%
8.96
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
7.29
2/X
5%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.57/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.63
-33% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
25.1 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nantes vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.05.2022 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
22.12.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
03.02.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
20.09.2020 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
12.01.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-2 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
10.11.2019 Nantes Nantes 2-3 HT 2-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1

Nantes 2-2 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
2-2
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.80 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
467 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes and Saint-Etienne couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nantes at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nantes had 61% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 39%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.80 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nantes and 1.17 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Saint-Etienne?

Nantes 2-2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nantes 49%, draw 25%, Saint-Etienne 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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