RC Strasbourg 1-0 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.47
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
11%
6.74
X/2
15%
4.89
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
19%
2.86
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.26/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.26
+25% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.7 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Marsilya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
25.11.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
12.03.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-2 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 0-2 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
21.05.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 4-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
12.12.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
1-0
AWAY Marsilya
1.31 xG 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
316 Passes 485
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg squeezed past Marsilya 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day RC Strasbourg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 41% of the ball to Marsilya's 59%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 2.00 for Marsilya.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Marsilya?

RC Strasbourg 1-0 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 32%, draw 28%, Marsilya 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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