University Of Pretoria 1-1 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.75/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.17
-38% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Baroka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.42 xG 0.63
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
124 Passes 384
55% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.06.2024 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 0-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAFPSL
02.06.2024 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAFPSL
10.12.2023 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 0-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
25.02.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 1-1 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
14.01.2023 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 1-3 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME University Of Pretoria
1-1
AWAY Baroka
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria and Baroka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was University Of Pretoria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, University Of Pretoria had 40% of the ball to Baroka's 60%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Baroka led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for University Of Pretoria and 1.40 for Baroka.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Baroka?

University Of Pretoria 1-1 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 41%, draw 29%, Baroka 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (University Of Pretoria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (University Of Pretoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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