Cambuur 1-3 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Sep 2024

Cambuur
1-3 HT 1-3
Emmen
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Cambuur vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.68
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
11%
7.26
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
21%
4.72
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.15/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.20
-37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.6 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Cambuur vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Emmen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.02.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
11.08.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 2-2 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.04.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
15.01.2023 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
07.08.2020 Emmen Emmen 2-5 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HAZ
23.02.2018 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Cambuur 1-3 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
1-3
AWAY Emmen
0.48 xG 2.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen got the better of Cambuur 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Emmen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cambuur had 51% of the ball to Emmen's 49%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.48 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambuur and 1.50 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Emmen?

Cambuur 1-3 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 38%, draw 24%, Emmen 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ BTTS No
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