68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-0 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-15.5pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.6pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.65
-19% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
441 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
2-0
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor got the better of Nazilli Belediyespor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 62% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 38%, shots finished 22-4.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-0 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 61%, draw 22%, Nazilli Belediyespor 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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