Serik Belediyespor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 24%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +25%
2.68/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.98
+107% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Belediyespor
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
43% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Serik Belediyespor 1-2 HT 1-2 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
05.11.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-0 HT 1-0 Serik Belediyespor T2L-K
11.03.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-0 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor T2L-K
01.10.2022 Serik Belediyespor 1-5 HT 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Belediyespor
1-0
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Serik Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor squeezed past Bucaspor 1928 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Serik Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Serik Belediyespor had 44% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 56%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Serik Belediyespor and 2.25 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Serik Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Serik Belediyespor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Serik Belediyespor 48%, draw 21%, Bucaspor 1928 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Belediyespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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