Diyarbekir Spor 1-3 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 51%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.55
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +79%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diyarbekir Spor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 1-2 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
05.11.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 HT 0-1 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-B
23.10.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 0-0 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-K
POST-MATCH Diyarbekir Spor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor saw off Diyarbekir Spor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Karacabey Belediye Spor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Diyarbekir Spor and 1.33 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Diyarbekir Spor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Diyarbekir Spor 1-3 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diyarbekir Spor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Diyarbekir Spor 26%, draw 33%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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