Angostura FC 1-2 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.6
Over
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.96/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.45
+8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.2 Crosses 12.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Zamora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.02 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
287 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
25.06.2023 Zamora Zamora 3-2 HT 0-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
20.05.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
1-2
AWAY Zamora
1.31 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora squeezed past Angostura FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Zamora found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Angostura FC had 56% of the ball to Zamora's 44%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.31 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Angostura FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Angostura FC and 1.67 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Zamora?

Angostura FC 1-2 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 37%, draw 29%, Zamora 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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