Hermanos Colmenarez vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hermanos Colmenarez v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals
Hermanos Colmenarez vs Caracas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Caracas FC
VEN
2-2
HT 1-1
Hermanos Colmenarez
VEN
1-0
HT 0-0
Hermanos Colmenarez
VEN
1-2
HT 0-1
Hermanos Colmenarez
VEN
2-1
HT 2-0
Caracas FC
VEN
Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics
Caracas FC nicked a narrow win over Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 51% of the ball to Caracas FC's 49%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.17 to 1.13 — on chances, Hermanos Colmenarez could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermanos Colmenarez had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.00 for Caracas FC.
What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Caracas FC?
Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Caracas FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 29%, draw 29%, Caracas FC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.