Everton 1-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
18%
4.11
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.4
2/2
11%
8.28
2/X
8%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.77
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.0 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 Passes 383
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2025 West Ham United West Ham United 2-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton HAZPL
15.03.2025 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
09.11.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
02.03.2024 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
29.10.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
21.01.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
1-1
AWAY West Ham United
0.72 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
380 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Everton vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton and West Ham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Everton at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Everton had 52% of the ball to West Ham United's 48%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.72 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Everton and 1.33 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Everton vs West Ham United?

Everton 1-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Everton 51%, draw 23%, West Ham United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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