West Ham United 2-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — HAZPL, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
13.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.31
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.26
X/2
10%
6.22
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
27%
4.29
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Everton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.25 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
354 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
09.11.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
02.03.2024 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
29.10.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
21.01.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
18.09.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-1
AWAY Everton
1.02 xG 1.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
481 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United squeezed past Everton 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Everton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, West Ham United had 62% of the ball to Everton's 38%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.02 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 0.67 for Everton.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Everton?

West Ham United 2-1 Everton in the HAZPL on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 32%, draw 26%, Everton 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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