Manchester United vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester United v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Manchester United vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Bournemouth
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Manchester United
İNP
3-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
Manchester United 4-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester United swept aside Bournemouth 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Manchester United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Manchester United had 55% of the ball to Bournemouth's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.40 to 1.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Manchester United and 1.50 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Manchester United 4-1 Bournemouth in the HAZPL on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 39%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.