Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Bournemouth
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Manchester United
İNP
3-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
5-2
HT 3-1
Bournemouth
İNP
Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth and Manchester United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 38% of the ball to Manchester United's 62%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 0.53 to 2.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bournemouth and 1.83 for Manchester United.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 45%, draw 29%, Manchester United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bournemouth), BTTS No went the other way.