Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.8
2-3 Goals
37%
2.32
4-5 Goals
29%
2.37
6+ Goals
16%
4.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.38
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
22.0
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
7%
22.9
X/X
6%
10.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
18.75
2/2
5%
17.75
2/X
6%
26.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.7pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
2.38/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.01
+9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
492 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.9 Crosses 12.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tottenham
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.94 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
450 Passes 393
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 4-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNLK
08.01.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
22.12.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-6 HT 1-3 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
05.05.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 4-2 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
30.09.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
30.04.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 3-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
5-1
AWAY Tottenham
2.28 xG 0.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
443 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool cruised past Tottenham 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool had 62% of the ball to Tottenham's 38%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Liverpool and 1.83 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Tottenham?

Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 64%, draw 19%, Tottenham 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
27 Apr 2025
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