Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.17
2-3 Goals
38%
2.35
4-5 Goals
29%
2.31
6+ Goals
15%
3.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.8
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
7%
20.45
X/X
7%
10.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
17.3
2/2
7%
15.15
2/X
7%
23.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.3 — our 14% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.3pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.35/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.79
+21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +63%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
512 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
42.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.6
26.7 Crosses 10.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tottenham
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.51 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
452 Passes 422
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
22.12.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-6 HT 1-3 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
05.05.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 4-2 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
30.09.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
30.04.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 3-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.11.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
4-0
AWAY Tottenham
3.76 xG 0.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 4
503 Passes 255
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
55 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool swept aside Tottenham 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool had 64% of the ball to Tottenham's 36%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 3.76 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Liverpool and 2.00 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Tottenham?

Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham in the England - League Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 62%, draw 20%, Tottenham 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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