River Plate 1-2 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.88
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.9
X/1
15%
3.61
X/2
3%
13.4
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
7%
13.25
2/X
6%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +29%
1.83/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.20
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +43%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.2 Crosses 10.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 1.05
75% Ball Possession 25%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
471 Passes 100
83% Pass Accuracy 51%
35 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
13.06.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 2-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
11.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-3 HT 0-3 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.30 xG 0.59
83% Ball Possession 17%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
533 Passes 59
87% Pass Accuracy 44%
34 Box Touches 6
47 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra nicked a narrow win over River Plate 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. River Plate carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 83% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 17%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.59 — on chances, River Plate could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for River Plate and 0.67 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Deportivo Riestra?

River Plate 1-2 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split River Plate 62%, draw 24%, Deportivo Riestra 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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